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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+7.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.20+7.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+7.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+2.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.85+0.31vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+1.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.11+1.49vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+3.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-1.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.14-5.86vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.55-0.09vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.61-5.85vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.80-3.16vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.59-7.61vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.70-7.47vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-0.94vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.46-5.55vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Roger Williams University1.844.8%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island1.205.1%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.099.6%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.4%1st Place
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7.79Boston College1.738.3%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.9%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.857.7%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College1.486.2%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.113.5%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University0.971.6%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.185.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.1411.1%1st Place
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12.91Tufts University0.552.6%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University1.616.2%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University0.803.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University1.597.8%1st Place
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9.53Yale University1.704.5%1st Place
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17.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.5%1st Place
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13.45Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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19.14Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Lech | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 40.2% | 16.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 11.9% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.