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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.61+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.60+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-1.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+5.41vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.08+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.66vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+4.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+1.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.03-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.69-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.59-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-5.78vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-4.12vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.34-2.05vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.39-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.2%1st Place
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.55San Diego State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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14.8Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Zmina | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 24.9% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 26.7% | 23.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Norah O'Neill | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 32.1% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.