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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.61+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.69+3.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.60-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.97vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.46-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+1.67vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.39+2.65vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.42vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-3.76vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.34-1.48vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.2%1st Place
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2.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.3%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.58San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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12.65Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.52Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Zmina | 20.9% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 30.5% | 26.9% | 19.3% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| David Alexander | 28.1% | 21.3% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Adam Wild | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 36.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 32.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.