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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.24+6.43vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.61+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.29+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-2.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.75+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.59+2.47vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.08-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.03-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73-2.97vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-2.58vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.53-1.12vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.34-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.610.2%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.3%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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7.13San Diego State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.88Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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13.49Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Zmina | 21.0% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 29.1% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Alexander | 25.5% | 22.5% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| George Kripac | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 7.9% |
| Norah O'Neill | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Puts | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 40.8% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.