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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.29+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.30vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.46-0.18vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.47-3.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-1.63vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.03vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.53+0.27vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.34-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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2.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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2.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.4%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.82San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.27Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.12Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canyon Breyer | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| David Alexander | 31.5% | 29.9% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 36.4% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 4.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Adam Wild | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Butler | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 39.6% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 36.7% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.