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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.24+5.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.72vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.46+2.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.29+0.13vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.47-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+1.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-1.72vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.03vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.53+0.26vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.34-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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2.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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2.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.4%1st Place
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6.93San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.73California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.26Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.09Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc LaMontagne | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| David Alexander | 30.3% | 31.8% | 19.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 37.5% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Katey Hayes | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Butler | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Mingyi Chen | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 10.8% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 7.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 23.8% | 39.9% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 24.1% | 36.5% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.