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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.11vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.47+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.29+1.29vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+5.06vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.08+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.03+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+2.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.78vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.34-0.55vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.53-1.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.59-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.3%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.2%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.3%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.38San Diego State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.45Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 29.6% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 26.2% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Butler | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Norah O'Neill | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 8.4% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 29.2% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 20.3% | 42.4% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.