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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+6.50vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63+9.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+7.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+2.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19+0.14vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.34+2.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+3.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-0.93vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.31+2.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.700.00vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-3.98vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.62-1.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-1.87vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-3.46vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-7.28vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-7.38vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.43-2.19vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.48-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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10.24Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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8.72Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Robert Vann | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| David Thompson | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Frederick Whitman | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Alex Olt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 40.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.