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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+7.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+9.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+4.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+2.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.55+7.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.85+0.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70+1.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.84+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.20-0.50vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+2.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.11-1.59vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-4.16vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-7.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.61-6.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.80-4.14vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.46-3.29vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.18-8.53vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.00vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Yale University1.595.6%1st Place
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11.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.2%1st Place
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7.84Boston College1.737.8%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.1411.5%1st Place
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12.98Tufts University0.551.7%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.2%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University1.858.4%1st Place
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9.63Yale University1.705.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.205.3%1st Place
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13.81Salve Regina University0.971.7%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University1.114.4%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College1.485.6%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University2.099.7%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University1.617.1%1st Place
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11.86Tufts University0.803.4%1st Place
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13.71Northeastern University0.462.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.184.8%1st Place
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17.0Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.4%1st Place
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19.23Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Alex Lech | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 2.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 40.0% | 16.4% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.