Race 1A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Filip Stevanovic 8.9% 9.0% 11.1% 15.3% 18.6% 23.6% 9.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 24.2% 22.5% 21.3% 14.1% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 31.3% 25.4% 18.6% 12.9% 7.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 8.2% 10.0% 12.2% 15.1% 18.0% 21.0% 11.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin McGarry 13.0% 15.5% 18.7% 16.0% 15.6% 13.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John DeRuff 10.7% 13.9% 13.5% 18.3% 16.8% 14.8% 9.1% 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Johnston 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.3% 4.8% 16.0% 20.2% 19.6% 14.8% 10.5% 5.8%
Yanni Tsetsekos 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 5.4% 17.0% 21.7% 18.9% 14.3% 10.1% 3.5%
Sophia Rosahl 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 8.8% 15.3% 16.2% 20.3% 18.5% 15.3%
River Dixon 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 10.1% 16.4% 18.5% 18.6% 17.0% 9.6%
Claire Bullard 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 5.3% 7.8% 12.4% 14.5% 23.4% 32.8%
Lauryn Schiller 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 1.9% 5.2% 7.5% 12.3% 17.3% 20.4% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.