Race 2A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nick Chisari 7.9% 10.1% 11.8% 14.7% 17.6% 23.7% 10.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin McGarry 12.4% 17.5% 15.5% 18.1% 17.7% 11.6% 5.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 23.7% 22.2% 21.5% 16.4% 10.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John DeRuff 10.3% 12.7% 16.3% 16.4% 16.6% 18.4% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 8.6% 9.4% 12.9% 15.9% 17.8% 18.6% 11.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 33.2% 24.7% 17.5% 12.7% 8.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 4.0% 4.4% 18.3% 21.5% 19.5% 13.4% 9.2% 4.1%
Sophia Rosahl 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 4.3% 7.8% 13.5% 14.9% 20.3% 20.6% 14.9%
Kevin Johnston 0.9% 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 4.6% 17.3% 21.6% 19.9% 16.5% 10.1% 4.2%
Claire Bullard 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 3.0% 5.8% 7.6% 12.0% 14.8% 21.1% 33.6%
Lauryn Schiller 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 4.8% 8.1% 11.7% 16.1% 21.1% 34.1%
River Dixon 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 2.4% 3.9% 9.2% 16.5% 19.8% 18.5% 17.9% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.