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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.21+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.63vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.32+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.21vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.75vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.44-1.89vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-0.29vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Cornell University1.2125.9%1st Place
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3.63University of Pennsylvania1.1616.7%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University-0.325.6%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2911.3%1st Place
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3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9220.8%1st Place
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4.11Columbia University0.4412.6%1st Place
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6.71Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
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5.66SUNY Maritime College-0.524.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 25.9% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 19.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 20.8% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 20.6% | 51.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 24.3% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.