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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.48+7.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+4.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+5.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.85+3.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+1.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+3.20vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.73+0.79vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+0.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-0.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.55+1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.20-2.32vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.11-2.71vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.80-3.06vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.70-6.24vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.46-3.44vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.06vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-7.35vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Bowdoin College1.486.2%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.1411.7%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University1.617.0%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University1.858.6%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.0910.6%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.846.5%1st Place
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7.79Boston College1.737.2%1st Place
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8.55Yale University1.596.2%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.9%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.185.5%1st Place
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12.89Tufts University0.552.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island1.203.8%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.113.8%1st Place
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13.65Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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11.94Tufts University0.802.9%1st Place
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9.76Yale University1.704.5%1st Place
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13.56Northeastern University0.462.0%1st Place
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16.94Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.5%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.5%1st Place
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19.23Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| Max Sigel | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 1.8% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 40.1% | 16.2% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.