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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+8.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+5.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+7.28vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31+6.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.38vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.34+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.43+6.51vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70+0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.62+0.41vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-2.80vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-5.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.67vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.63-3.81vs Predicted
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16Boston University4.07-6.72vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.48-5.04vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.90-7.99vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.52-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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15.51University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Frederick Whitman | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alex Olt | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 40.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| David Thompson | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Robert Vann | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.