Race 2B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Janov 60.7% 25.1% 8.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Dilikoglu 7.6% 17.8% 19.9% 16.2% 15.1% 12.1% 7.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 13.0% 21.9% 19.7% 18.9% 12.9% 8.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Larson 3.9% 8.0% 11.9% 14.7% 15.1% 16.0% 14.7% 9.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 6.1% 10.7% 14.3% 17.9% 16.1% 15.4% 9.9% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Senich 3.2% 5.9% 11.2% 10.1% 16.2% 15.2% 14.6% 14.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Tyler Butler 2.5% 4.3% 6.6% 8.1% 9.0% 13.0% 18.7% 19.1% 11.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Ryan Flanagan 1.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.5% 11.3% 16.2% 20.9% 16.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.7%
William Jones 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 2.2% 3.9% 5.8% 13.9% 20.9% 28.1% 22.7%
Robert Chapman 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 5.4% 8.3% 21.8% 24.5% 19.1% 10.7%
Tyler Merrow 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 7.0% 14.1% 22.1% 22.9% 24.0%
Zhenyu Yin 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 3.7% 7.5% 16.2% 25.0% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.