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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.18+4.03vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.48+1.59vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.80-0.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.06+0.46vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.41+0.45vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.11-1.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-0.53vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-2.48+0.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-1.16-2.97vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.69-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.97-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.59Hampton University0.480.2%1st Place
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2.97Washington College0.800.3%1st Place
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4.46George Washington University0.060.1%1st Place
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5.45Drexel University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.38Villanova University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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9.58Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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7.03Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.12Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Delaware-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Larson | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 18.0% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 27.4% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Register | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Senich | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Butler | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 17.1% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Richard Chui | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| William Jones | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 27.6% | 38.2% |
| Damien Hollyday | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.