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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+6.07vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.97+4.73vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.75vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+1.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+1.83vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.83+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03-1.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.44vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-0.81vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-1.86vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.25-2.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.56vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.19Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.34Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.2% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Julia LaForgia | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.