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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.72vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+4.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+4.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97+1.11vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.32+1.81vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.83-0.60vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.55-3.78vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-4.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.46vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.25-3.78vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.46University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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8.81Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.22Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.15Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.22Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Julia LaForgia | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.