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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+5.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+2.14vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35+5.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.83+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97-0.32vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25+1.24vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.43vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-4.16vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.52vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-6.53vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.05Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.27Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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11.48SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Julia LaForgia | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 41.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.