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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.97+5.88vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+2.91vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.83+4.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+3.72vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+2.29vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03-0.54vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16-2.61vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32-0.79vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.54vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-3.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.54vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.25-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.54SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.0Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.21Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Julia LaForgia | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 44.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% |
| Emma Snead | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.