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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+8.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+6.93vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.73+3.84vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46+8.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+2.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.84+2.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+0.35vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-1.70vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-0.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.55+1.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.11-1.73vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.61-4.76vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.14-7.99vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.20-6.26vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.80-5.08vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-4.15vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-7.40vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Yale University1.706.1%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.0910.3%1st Place
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7.84Boston College1.737.8%1st Place
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13.74Northeastern University0.461.6%1st Place
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8.61Yale University1.596.3%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University1.845.2%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.2%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University1.859.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.184.9%1st Place
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12.88Tufts University0.552.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.114.4%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University1.616.6%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.1411.5%1st Place
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16.85Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.4%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island1.204.3%1st Place
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11.92Tufts University0.802.9%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.823.2%1st Place
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19.17Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 39.0% | 14.1% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 1.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.