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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+7.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.62+8.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.78+1.70vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.52+1.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+4.71vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.90+2.41vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07+0.15vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-2.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.43+4.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-1.24vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.52vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.62-3.81vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.48-4.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.31-4.34vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.70-7.11vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University4.01-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.89Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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10.41Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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16.08University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 16.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Frederick Whitman | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| David Thompson | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Vann | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Olt | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 44.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Schon | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.