Race 5A

women-showcase-finals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Groble 7.8% 8.4% 7.5% 10.4% 8.4% 6.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 7.6% 7.1% 5.7% 3.3%
Julia LaForgia 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 7.2% 3.2%
Katherine Cox 11.6% 11.3% 13.1% 9.6% 8.5% 10.2% 10.4% 8.1% 6.4% 4.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Jenna Probst 10.2% 8.2% 10.1% 8.5% 9.5% 8.1% 8.9% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 6.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Kelsey Slack 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 7.9% 9.1% 7.8% 3.7%
Jessica Bennett 10.7% 9.5% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 8.5% 8.1% 5.9% 6.5% 5.8% 4.1% 2.0%
Emma Snead 11.8% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 10.1% 8.9% 9.3% 6.2% 8.3% 6.9% 5.3% 4.3% 1.4%
Anna Patterson 3.8% 7.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 9.6% 11.8% 11.3% 11.6%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.0% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 7.8% 8.5% 7.7% 8.2% 5.5% 6.5% 3.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 8.3% 14.3% 42.2%
Marina Barzaghi 10.7% 12.5% 9.9% 11.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 7.4% 6.7% 6.8% 4.2% 2.0% 1.5%
Margaret MacCormack 4.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.4% 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 10.6% 11.9% 15.1% 13.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 4.2% 6.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 9.2% 12.0% 14.8% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.