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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+2.84vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.32+4.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+1.10vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97-0.70vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+0.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25-0.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.07vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.57vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-5.63vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.83-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.84University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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8.23Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.43SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 10.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.8% |
| Emma Snead | 10.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 38.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.