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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katherine Cox 12.4% 12.1% 11.9% 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 8.8% 6.8% 7.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.8% 0.9%
Jessica Bennett 9.6% 9.8% 8.7% 10.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 6.6% 6.9% 6.5% 8.0% 4.0% 1.5%
Marina Barzaghi 9.2% 10.3% 10.9% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 9.2% 7.9% 9.6% 5.0% 4.9% 3.8% 1.6%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 6.9% 5.4% 7.5% 6.3% 5.7% 7.5% 10.3% 10.6% 13.9% 13.4%
Ellie Maus 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 8.7% 9.6% 6.9% 7.5% 10.5% 8.6% 6.2% 5.2% 5.3% 2.4%
Bridget Groble 8.9% 7.8% 7.4% 8.9% 8.8% 9.4% 8.0% 9.2% 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 4.4% 4.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.1% 8.2% 9.5% 7.6% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8%
Anna Patterson 4.8% 6.3% 3.3% 5.4% 6.3% 5.2% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 9.5% 10.8% 14.4% 10.2%
Margaret MacCormack 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 14.4% 14.8%
Emma Snead 10.7% 8.2% 12.2% 8.0% 10.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 6.4% 7.2% 5.7% 4.5% 2.2%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 8.5% 8.2% 16.3% 38.9%
Jenna Probst 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 4.4% 3.2%
Julia LaForgia 6.3% 8.2% 7.1% 6.9% 8.0% 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 9.4% 8.9% 9.3% 6.7% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.