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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.97+5.39vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+4.60vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.49+7.65vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-0.24vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.83-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03-1.81vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25-0.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-3.81vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.30vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-3.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.6Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.43Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 42.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Julia LaForgia | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.