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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+5.61vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.97+4.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+3.22vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+3.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.49+4.51vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.06vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25-0.35vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-1.74vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.83-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16-6.05vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.22Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.65Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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8.26Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.61George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 41.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.