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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+4.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.97+2.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+1.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.75vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+0.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32-0.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-3.46vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.25-2.62vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.83-5.00vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.13Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.22Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.54Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.0George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.73SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Emma Snead | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.