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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+5.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.98vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.83+3.88vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.97+2.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-0.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03-1.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.64vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.52vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-2.87vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-3.45vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.25-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.13Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.76Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Emma Snead | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Julia LaForgia | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 43.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.