← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.14+6.22vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.32+3.78vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+3.04vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.39+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.11+1.53vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26-0.31vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.94-3.08vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.51-2.78vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.63vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.06-0.41vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.76vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.85-4.82vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University0.30-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.22Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
5.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
-
7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.64George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.53Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.22Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
5.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
10.59Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.76SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.18Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
9.78Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Anna Flaherty | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Key | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 25.5% | 15.8% |
| zoe clougher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 63.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Courtney Purcell | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.