← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.40vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.14+5.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.32+3.76vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.32vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.11+2.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami1.26+1.10vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.39-0.69vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.30+1.78vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.94-4.04vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.51-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-3.98vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College0.85-3.71vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-1.07-0.33vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.06-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.16Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.76University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
-
5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
7.56Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.1University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.31George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
9.78Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
-
4.96University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.22Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
-
8.29Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
12.67SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.44Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 10.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Anna Flaherty | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| zoe clougher | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 65.0% |
| Emily Key | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 25.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.