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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+6.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+1.86vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.11+3.47vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.51+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.32+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26-0.35vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-1.08vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-2.41vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85-1.57vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.66vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-1.44vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.30-3.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.86University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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6.32Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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6.59George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.43Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.56Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.77Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Anna Flaherty | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Key | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 24.5% | 15.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 10.0% |
| zoe clougher | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.