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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.94+3.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.14+4.34vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+4.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+2.51vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.26-1.99vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-3.34vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-3.97vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-1.47vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.30-3.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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10.53Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.79Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Allison Marozza | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Anna Flaherty | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Key | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 15.1% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 10.4% |
| zoe clougher | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.