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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+8.50vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+12.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+10.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+5.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+3.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.14-0.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-0.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-2.25vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-1.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.73-3.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-1.54vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.55-1.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.11-4.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.84-6.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.61-8.87vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-0.93vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.40-0.46vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College1.48-11.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Tufts University1.184.0%1st Place
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14.03Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
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13.86Northeastern University0.462.0%1st Place
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9.59Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.9%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.205.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.1411.3%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University1.858.9%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University2.099.4%1st Place
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8.64Yale University1.596.3%1st Place
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7.88Boston College1.736.7%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University0.802.4%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.823.6%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University0.552.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.114.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University1.846.0%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.617.1%1st Place
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17.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.8%1st Place
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18.54Williams College-1.400.4%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College1.485.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| William Kulas | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 31.2% | 25.9% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 17.3% | 59.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.