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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.32+2.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+2.50vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51+0.28vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39-0.72vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-0.63vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.66vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.06+0.61vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.85-2.66vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.30-2.12vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-6.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.88University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.28George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.61Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.88Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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12.68SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Key | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 24.4% | 16.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Courtney Purcell | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
| Anna Flaherty | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| zoe clougher | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.