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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.26+5.76vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+4.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.40vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.32+0.75vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+0.90vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-0.72vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-2.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14-2.66vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51-4.85vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-1.58vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.23-1.95vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.24George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.9Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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6.15Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.42Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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11.05Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.59SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Keefe | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Anna Flaherty | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Key | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 12.9% |
| Mary Mann | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 20.9% |
| zoe clougher | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.