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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+5.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.26+3.85vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.32+1.76vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94-2.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.75vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85-0.81vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.23+1.14vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51-4.87vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.64vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-5.76vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.06-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.35Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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4.63University of South Florida1.940.2%1st Place
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5.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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8.19Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.13Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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12.64SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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10.28Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Flaherty | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Mary Mann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 22.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| zoe clougher | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 57.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Key | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.