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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.94+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.32+3.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+2.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26-0.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51-1.90vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.06+1.38vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11-2.60vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39-4.46vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-0.23-0.91vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.85-4.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida1.940.2%1st Place
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6.71University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.1Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.38Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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11.09Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.04Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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12.58SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 15.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Anna Flaherty | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Key | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 12.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Mary Mann | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 27.4% | 20.7% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| zoe clougher | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.