← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+5.74vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.99vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University-0.23+7.94vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.11+3.33vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.14+2.29vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.33+0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26-0.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.32-1.36vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.39-2.49vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.94-5.12vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College0.85-2.82vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-6.60vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.06-2.76vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
-
4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
10.94Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.33Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
-
7.29Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.73Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
-
6.51George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.18Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
10.24Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.55SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Flaherty | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Mann | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Baumann | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Key | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 11.0% |
| zoe clougher | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.