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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+6.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.94+2.60vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.33+3.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+2.46vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+2.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.53vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.05vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.26-2.12vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32-4.31vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-0.23-0.94vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06-2.74vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-1.07-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida1.940.2%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.46George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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8.2Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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11.06Jacksonville University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.26Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.55SUNY Maritime College-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Flaherty | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Mary Mann | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| Emily Key | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 13.2% |
| zoe clougher | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.