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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.61+7.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+4.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+4.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+2.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+4.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.20+0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.73-2.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-1.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80+0.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.11-2.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-1.27vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-4.29vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.48-7.91vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.55-5.08vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.17vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.40-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Roger Williams University1.616.5%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.1411.2%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University1.858.0%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.0910.0%1st Place
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9.55Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.1%1st Place
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8.59Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.204.7%1st Place
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7.82Boston College1.737.7%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.184.8%1st Place
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12.1Tufts University0.802.5%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University1.114.6%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University0.971.6%1st Place
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13.73Northeastern University0.461.6%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.823.2%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College1.485.4%1st Place
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12.92Tufts University0.552.5%1st Place
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16.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.8%1st Place
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18.4Williams College-1.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan McDonald | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Lech | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 28.4% | 26.4% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 17.1% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.