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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+1.32vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+2.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73-0.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.92+0.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.21+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.67Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 32.3% | 29.4% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 27.0% | 24.9% | 14.8% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Jordan | 22.1% | 25.2% | 27.9% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 30.4% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Beth Albone | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Kevin Collins | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 29.2% | 51.4% |
| Addison Stead | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 19.6% | 33.1% | 19.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.