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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+5.73vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+3.10vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.46vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.09+5.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.53+6.38vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.31+2.34vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-3.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.75vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.68-4.12vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-3.96vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59-1.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-5.68vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-5.98vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.37Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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12.38University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.34Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.62Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.88George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.04Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.19Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.7Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| August Sturm | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Christian Koules | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Vail | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.