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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+5.74vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.09+7.14vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+5.44vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.30vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43-0.65vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.63+4.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+1.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59+1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.73vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.53-0.65vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-7.47vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-5.76vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-8.12vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.3SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.35Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.17Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.35University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.24Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.88George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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13.72Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| August Sturm | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Christian Koules | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.