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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.94vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+11.53vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+4.90vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+5.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+0.16vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.09+2.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-1.47vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-3.74vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.63+0.88vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.48vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.51vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.89vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-3.75vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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13.53Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.88Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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7.53Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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6.52SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.49Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 32.4% |
| Matt Logue | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Christian Koules | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.