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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+6.79vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+6.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+2.37vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+0.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+2.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+2.30vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94-1.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.63+3.08vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59+1.97vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-3.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.50vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.57vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08-0.30vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-4.88vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.53-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.82Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.08Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.5SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.7Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.0% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 33.3% |
| August Sturm | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Christian Koules | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.