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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+7.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+11.57vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+6.28vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+1.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+2.75vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+1.11vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-1.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31-0.77vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-1.98vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.63-0.18vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-2.96vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-3.69vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-3.07vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-3.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-10.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.57Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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5.27Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.23Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 33.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| August Sturm | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Joey Lark | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 14.9% |
| Christian Koules | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.