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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+5.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.08vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+2.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.17vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+1.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.65vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68+0.92vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+0.72vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+4.76vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31-0.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31-1.56vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-4.67vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59-0.89vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-4.83vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.53-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.24Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.65SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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13.76Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.21Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.33Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 12.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 34.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% |
| August Sturm | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Christian Koules | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.