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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.20+7.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+4.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+2.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.61+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.55+6.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.11+3.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84+1.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-0.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.80+0.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.14-6.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-1.45vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-4.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-1.12vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.73-8.29vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.48-8.03vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-1.01vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.46-5.29vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.40-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Yale University1.595.4%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.204.3%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.858.0%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University2.0911.2%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University1.615.9%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University0.551.8%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University1.113.4%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University1.845.5%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.2%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.185.3%1st Place
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11.91Tufts University0.803.2%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.1412.1%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.823.3%1st Place
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9.69Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University0.971.7%1st Place
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7.71Boston College1.737.8%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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16.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.9%1st Place
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13.71Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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18.44Williams College-1.400.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Alex Lech | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 29.5% | 25.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 17.5% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.