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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+7.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+9.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+2.06vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+4.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.92vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.43+8.79vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.90+2.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.78-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62+1.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48+0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.62-0.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.60vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-3.52vs Predicted
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16Boston University4.07-6.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.52-9.54vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.31-5.40vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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15.79University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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10.35Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| David Thompson | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Olt | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 43.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Robert Vann | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Frederick Whitman | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.