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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+5.68vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.09+5.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.82vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+1.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-1.96vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+3.54vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.31+0.25vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.83vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.93-0.27vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+1.45vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-6.17vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-4.71vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.53-3.03vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.63-4.27vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.04Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.54Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.25Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.45Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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11.73Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| August Sturm | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 32.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Christian Koules | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.