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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.95vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+4.75vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+5.41vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+3.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.00vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-2.92vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-2.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-3.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.09-2.04vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10+0.50vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08-0.44vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.99-4.64vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.40-7.14vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.53-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.37Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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5.08Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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13.56Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.36Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| August Sturm | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 28.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 30.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Christian Koules | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.