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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.84vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.93+8.51vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+3.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+4.75vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+2.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-1.90vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.78vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+0.40vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.99+0.30vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.09-2.03vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10+0.45vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.31-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.53-3.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.40-7.18vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.74Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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13.53Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.27Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.0University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Matt Logue | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 32.6% |
| August Sturm | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 27.6% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Christian Koules | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.