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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.88vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+4.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+3.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.40+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.70vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.14vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.86vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93+1.66vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.53+1.05vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.63-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.09-2.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-4.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-3.27vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.87-5.22vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.88Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.05University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.73Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.78Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.42Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Matt Logue | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Christian Koules | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% |
| August Sturm | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.