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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.31+6.96vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.09+5.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.53+6.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.21vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.40-0.11vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.63+1.48vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.68vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-3.02vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.08+0.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59-2.11vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-8.37vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.87-5.19vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.48Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.98Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.49Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Matt Logue | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Christian Koules | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 31.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.